election debatelatest news & developments
A forecasting model developed by former Statistician-General Pali Lehohla projects a sharp decline in ANC support ahead of South Africa’s 2026 local government elections, but the assumptions, data and methodology behind the forecast require fuller disclosure.
ANC

Lehohla model forecasts sharp ANC decline ahead of 2026 local elections

A forecasting model developed by former Statistician-General Pali Lehohla projects a sharp decline in ANC support ahead of South Africa’s 2026 local government elections, but the…

  • Dr Pali Lehohla
8 min read